Application of Growth Models to Human Computer Interaction (hci) Research Literature
Authors
-
National Institute of Science Technology and Development Studies Dr. K. S. Krishnan Marg, New Delhi-110012
Suresh Kumar
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17821/srels/2014/v51i5/53540Keywords:
Doubling Time, Growth Model, Growth Rate Functions, Human Computer Interaction, ScientometricsAbstract
The study explores the applicability of three models namely exponential model, logistic model and power model on HCI research literature of world and top twenty nations, as reflected in Science Citation Index-Expanded for a period of 25 years, from 1987 to 2011. The criteria for selection of growth models are based on two growth rate functions suggested by Egghe and Rao. This methodology is found satisfactory, except for data series where there is no clear trend observed in second growth rate function. The analysis suggests that growth of all the 21 data set is explained by both logistic growth model and exponential growth model equally well. Although, power growth model is indicated for four data sets, by the two growth rate function methodology, it was logistic or exponential model found fit to explain growth of those data sets as well. Therefore, results in this study emphasises the need to undertake more such studies on the time series data on publications growth of various fields to test the utility of two growth rate functions methodology.
Downloads
References
Rao, I.K.R. (1998). Growth, obsolescence, collaborations and circulation statistics. In Workshop on informatrics and scientometrics. 16-19 March 1998, Documentation Training Research Centre, Bangalore.
Sangam, S.L.; Gupta B.M. and Suresh, K. (2007). Modeling the growth of Indian and Chinese social science literature. SRELS Journal of Information Management. 44(4): 395–398.
Cole, F.J. (1917). The history of comparative anatomy, Pt 1. Statistical analysis of the literature. Science Progress. 11:578–596.
Wilson, P.W. and Fred, E.B. (1935). The growth curves of scientific literature: Nitrogen fixation by plants. Scientific Monthly. 41: 241–250.
May, K.O. (1966). Quantitative growth of the mathematical literature. Science. 154: 1672–1673.
Solla de Price, Derek. (1966). Little Science, Big Science. New York: Columbia University Press, 119p.
Solla de Price, Derek. (1975). Science Since Babylon. New Haven: Yale University Press, 149p.
Crane, D. (1972). Invisible Colleges: Diffusion of knowledge in scientific communities. United States: The University of Chicago Press, 213p.
Sulivan, D. et. al. (1977). The state science indicators in the specialty of week interactions. Social Studies of Science. 7:167–203.
Tague, J.; Beheshti, J. and Rees-Potter, L. (1981). The law of exponential growth: Evidence, implications and forecasts. Library Trends. 30: 125–149.
Braun, T.; Lyon, W.S. and Bujdosó, E. (1977). Literature growth and decay: an activation analysis résumé. Analytical Chemistry, 49(8): 682A–688A.
Sharma, P.; Gupta, B.M. and Kumar, S. (2002). Application of Growth Models to Science and Technology Literature in Research Specialities. DESIDOC Bulletin of Information Technology. 22(2): 17–25.
Kumar, S. and Gupta, B.M. (2003). Modelling the growth of literature in the area of chemical sciences. Library Herald.41(4): 225–239.
Tague, J.; Beheshti, J. and Rees-Potter, L. (1981). The law of exponential growth: Evidence, implications and forecasts.Library Trends. 30: 125–149.
Efthomidis, E.N. (1990). The growth of the OPAC literature.Journal of the American Society for Information Science. 41:342–347.
Wolfram, D; Chu, C.M. and Xin, L. (1990). Growth of knowledge: Bibliometric analysis using online databases data. Informetrics. edited by L. Egghe & R Rousseau.Elsevier, Amsterdam: 355–372.
Egghe, L. and Rao, R.I.K. (1992). Classification of growth models based on growth rates and its applications.Scientometrics. 25: 5–46.
Downloads
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
All the articles published in Journal of Information and Knowledge are held by the Publisher. Sarada Ranganathan Endowment for Library Science (SRELS), as a publisher requires its authors to transfer the copyright prior to publication. This will permit SRELS to reproduce, publish, distribute and archive the article in print and electronic form and also to defend against any improper use of the article.
Accepted 2014-10-22
